Michael Saltzstein believes risk management is critical to both successful business practices and successful military operations during a time of conflict between nations. Although the danger is inherent in many military duties, planning for operational contingencies can reduce risks and save lives. Moreover, mitigating risk in a coalition environment is even more critical because the scenarios that planners must consider are complicated by various policies, equipment, training, and security procedures.
According
to Forrester Research, Inc. analysts, the ramifications of the Russia-Ukraine
friction are reverberating in global markets. Risk management leaders worldwide
are already, or will soon be, dealing with the impact of the conflict and
sanctions. AM Best reported that the industry's indirect exposure could be
significant.
First Steps Toward Loss Prevention
According
to Michael Saltzstein, the first step for commercial policyholders with
business units exposed to the conflict zone should be to plan to maintain
resilience for those divisions. It must include risk managers meeting with
chief security officers and IT leaders to assess whether they rely on
technology suppliers in the impacted regions and evaluate their ability to
switch suppliers if necessary. You should review business continuity plans,
supply chain arrangements, and alternative third-party vendors. Additionally,
executives should have the authority to make quick decisions on alternative
suppliers if the need arises.
Furthermore,
according to Forrester's analysis, businesses should brace themselves for
additional supply chain bottlenecks, as sanctions and other disruptions might
wreak havoc on supply chains over the next 24 months. These issues are expected
to manifest through higher fuel prices, possible shortages, and increased
freight and travel costs.
After
considering the business units at risk and the supply chain, Michael Saltzstein
advises risk managers to pay attention to the changing situation, particularly
those that may necessitate changes to third-party vendors. In addition, as
analysts expect more sanctions, it is best to be proactive in screening
third-party partnerships, including direct partners, foreign affiliates, and
customers.
Furthermore,
it would be good to prioritize geopolitical instability in the enterprise risk
management plan. It should consider all the new geopolitical risks, and the
impact analysis should include potential conflict and its aftereffects.
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